Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002851 0.002982 0.003115 0.003261 0.003416 0.003577 0.003755
2025-03-02 0.002647 0.002846 0.003055 0.003294 0.003559 0.003845 0.004178
2025-03-09 0.002490 0.002727 0.002983 0.003283 0.003625 0.004006 0.004464
2025-03-16 0.002363 0.002625 0.002915 0.003261 0.003666 0.004127 0.004698
2025-03-23 0.002243 0.002522 0.002835 0.003215 0.003669 0.004197 0.004866
2025-03-30 0.002144 0.002435 0.002766 0.003176 0.003673 0.004263 0.005026
2025-04-06 0.002078 0.002383 0.002735 0.003177 0.003721 0.004380 0.005250
2025-04-13 0.001967 0.002272 0.002628 0.003079 0.003644 0.004336 0.005265
2025-04-20 0.001918 0.002233 0.002605 0.003083 0.003689 0.004444 0.005478
2025-04-27 0.001893 0.002222 0.002615 0.003126 0.003784 0.004618 0.005781
2025-05-04 0.001835 0.002168 0.002569 0.003097 0.003784 0.004666 0.005917
2025-05-11 0.001787 0.002124 0.002534 0.003079 0.003796 0.004731 0.006076
2025-05-18 0.001736 0.002076 0.002493 0.003052 0.003797 0.004780 0.006218
2025-05-25 0.001714 0.002063 0.002496 0.003083 0.003875 0.004936 0.006517
2025-06-01 0.001675 0.002028 0.002469 0.003072 0.003896 0.005014 0.006706
2025-06-08 0.001635 0.001990 0.002436 0.003053 0.003903 0.005071 0.006865
2025-06-15 0.001588 0.001941 0.002389 0.003010 0.003877 0.005079 0.006951
2025-06-22 0.001546 0.001898 0.002346 0.002975 0.003858 0.005096 0.007049
2025-06-29 0.001520 0.001875 0.002331 0.002976 0.003890 0.005187 0.007265
2025-07-06 0.001460 0.001807 0.002253 0.002887 0.003790 0.005083 0.007170
2025-07-13 0.001439 0.001788 0.002242 0.002890 0.003824 0.005174 0.007387
2025-07-20 0.001432 0.001789 0.002256 0.002929 0.003910 0.005348 0.007745
2025-07-27 0.001401 0.001757 0.002224 0.002902 0.003898 0.005371 0.007857